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DIMENSION STONE ADVOCATE NEWS

Detailed Outlook 2011 Issue No. 35 July 2011

The latest statistics are now updated on the Basics/Mines blog, as is a brief summary of the observer's report.  The DSAN is a somewhat longer report for the record.

This outlook is based on structured, in-depth conversations with well-placed industry observers, some preliminary statistics (even a few for 2010), and the professional judgment of Harold A. Taylor, the Publisher/Editor.

General 2010-11 Outlook:  The Overall Production-Demand Index showed that overall 2010 U.S. dimension stone sales were up 9% from 2009.

Statistical Parameters: Sales related-demand:  The Overall Production-Demand Index based on 100 for 1997 was 360 for 2006, 372 for 2007, 332 for 2008, 235 for 2009, and 257 for 2010 (semifinal).  The Granite Countertop Demand Index based on 100 in 1997 was 1081 in 2006, 1066 in 2007, 948 in 2008, 624 in 2009, and 807 in 2010 (final).  The Demand Index for Granite and Marble Tile based on 100 in 1997 was 414 in 2006, 473 in 2007, 429 in 2008, 286 in 2009, and 270 in 2010 (final).

WORLD DEMAND/DOMANDA MONDIALE STATISTIC(s)      
Index numbers/Numeri indici   2000=100
Year/Anno 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
GRANITE/GRANITO                    
Median           117 134 161 194 222
Average 93 89 93 100 105 116 125 161 190 227
MARBLE/MARMO                    
Median           152 193 237 293 338
Average 106 106 100 100 101 112 122 144 166 196

A useful measure of the world demand for granite and marble (shown above) is the total finished granite or marble exported by some major exporting countries--Brazil, Italy, Spain, and China--for finished granite and Turkey, Italy, Spain, and China for finished marble.  This measure shows the growth in demand since 1997 (but 2000 is the base year, 2000=100).

New readers of DSAN should also check the cover for “Early-Bird”, “Pulsetaking”, and “Late-Bird” Outlooks, and the large body of information built up in the back issues, Issues 1 to 34.  See Issue 20 for data for earlier years.

See Architect's Stone Selection Helper and its trove of stone photos for quick and convenient use by architects and others needing to quickly and conveniently examine many stones by color and appearance before selection of a few alternates.

Outlook for granite memorials and monuments: This includes mausoleums and other stone funeral products.  Sales of domestic monumental granite in 2011 is likely to be level with 2010 and 2010 was down 5% from 2009.  Dollar value of sales were often down more than that.

Outlook for granite countertops:  The 2011 outlook by the DSAN observers for granite kitchen countertops is for sales being down 3% from 2010 (high-end down 5%).

Outlook for dimension stone tile: This includes mostly granite and marble, almost all imported but some domestic, and of various sizes and thicknesses.  The observers indicate that 2011 sales are down about 5% from 2010.

Outlook for Indiana limestone: This is the major U.S. limestone and is made into products including cut-to-size panels or veneer, lintels, sills, stair treads, ashlar, and cubic stock.  Sales in 2011 are up 6% from 2010.  The owners of Victor Oolitic bought Indiana Limestone and are meshing operations.
 
Outlook for worked slate (including roofing slate): Sales of domestic slate in 2011 are down another 5% from 2010.

Outlook for other dimension stone: This would include sandstone, bluestone, and flagstone (misc.).  Sales in 2011 are up 8% from 2010.

Building Green Update for Dimension Stone: During Marmomacc in late 2010, a meeting of many of the dimension stone associations, federations, and publications was held to discuss the development of a green certification standard run in accordance with ANSI standards for natural dimension stone.

Welcome to Dimension Stone Advocate News (DSAN). DSAN will appear on a frequent but irregular basis and has been designed to quickly update busy executives and professionals on dimension stone-related developments, usually with a reference to where the item appeared so that more information can be obtained if needed.

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